AAFC predicts less wheat, more canola seeded

(Resource News International) — Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada expects the area seeded to spring and durum wheats this spring will be down significantly from levels seen a year ago.

Record canola acreage was also forecast in the latest acreage outlook released this week by AAFC’s market analysis division.

In its first look at what Canadian producers plan on putting into the ground during the 2009-10 crop year, the market analysis branch pegged seeded area to all wheat at 23.895 million acres, with durum accounting for 5.609 million acres of that amount. Producers in Canada seeded 25.009 million acres to all wheat in the spring of 2008 with 6.03 million consisting of durum.

Seeded area to canola, meanwhile, was expected to jump to a record 16.802 million acres in the spring of 2009 from the record 16.159 million seeded in 2008.

AAFC oilseed analyst Glenn Lennox said canola continues to budget out well, given its strong yield potential. Significant improvements in canola seed varieties have also increased the crop’s ability to tolerate disease and, in turn, a more frequent rotation.

The area seeded to barley was expected to increase slightly to 1.674 million acres in 2009 from 9.357 million in 2008, while oats area was seen holding relatively stable at 4.374 million acres in 2009 compared with 4.345 million in 2008.

The area left as summerfallow in the spring of 2009 was estimated by Agriculture Canada at 6.042 million acres, which would be down slightly from the 2008 level of 6.069 million.

Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada’s 2009-10 seedings estimate, released Jan. 26, 2009. Figures are in millions of acres. Source: AAFC.

  ——Seeded area——
  AAFC StatsCan
  2009-10 2008-09
All wheat 23.895 25.009
 Durum 5.609 6.030
Barley 9.674 9.357
Corn 3.109 2.975
Oats 4.374 4.345
Rye 0.410 0.340
Canola 16.803 16.159
Flaxseed 1.556 1.560
Soybeans 3.212 2.954
Dry peas 3.706 3.996
Lentils 1.804 1.611
Mustard 0.519 0.479
Sunflower 0.178 0.170
Canaryseed 0.445 0.415
Chickpeas 0.210 0.131
Summerfallow 6.042 6.069

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