U.S. livestock: Live cattle rebound as trade adjusts to supply shock

Hogs lower, cash market supportive

Reading Time: < 1 minute

Published: October 28, 2020

, ,

CME December 2020 live cattle with Bollinger bands (20,2) and 100-day moving average (brown line). (Barchart)

Chicago | Reuters — U.S. live cattle futures rebounded on Tuesday, as packers kept processing at a higher-than-usual pace, despite a bearish Cattle on Feed report, traders said.

Meanwhile, hog futures eased slightly on Tuesday, as falling cutout prices have carved into packer margins, traders said.

CME December live cattle futures gained 0.65 cent to 104.05 cents/lb., while January feeder cattle added 1.65 cents to 128.425 cents/lb. (all figures US$).

Daily slaughter fell 3.3 per cent from last week, but is still 3.5 per cent ahead of the same week last year.

Read Also

Photo: Allan Dawson/File

French maize ratings slip again; wheat harvest complete

Maize crop conditions in France, the European Union’s biggest grain producer, registered a third consecutive weekly decline in the week to August 18, data from farm office FranceAgriMer showed on Friday, as a heatwave gripped most of the country.

Packer margins continued to tighten from early COVID-19 pandemic-induced highs, but remained strong at $189.53 per head.

“It’s still a decent margin for packers,” said Matt Wiegand, a risk management consultant with FuturesOne.

Wiegand said that, after cattle futures dropped sharply on Monday, the trade will likely see contracts steadily climb for the rest of the week as packers move animals through their plants at such a steady clip.

“I wouldn’t expect a wild rally, but if we can build on the early week action, I think we see a short-term drift higher,” Wiegand said.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture’s monthly Cattle on Feed report Friday showed a 3.8 per cent gain in feedlots inventories on October 1, the highest since records began in 1996.

December lean hogs futures settled down 0.1 cent, to 67.65 cents/lb.

Though hog futures slipped on Tuesday, traders noted that the cash market for hogs remains strong, supporting the futures markets as they come off the highs seen in recent weeks.

— Christopher Walljasper reports on agriculture and ag commodities for Reuters from Chicago.

About the author

Christopher Walljasper

Christopher Walljasper

Chicago-based Thomson Reuters' reporter covering U.S. food production, supply chain, U.S. hunger and farm labor. Born in a farming community in Southeast Iowa, he graduated from Monmouth College in Illinois and received his master’s degree from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University.

explore

Stories from our other publications