U.S. livestock: Futures slip on seasonal pressure

Slaughter backlogs remain a drag on live cattle

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Published: October 13, 2020

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CME December 2020 live cattle with 20- and 50-day moving averages. (Barchart)

Chicago | Reuters — U.S. live cattle futures fell on Monday, pressured by a softening in seasonal demand and the continued impact from backlogs at slaughterhouses, traders said.

Lean hogs also eased on profit taking, while feeder cattle also followed live cattle for a loss.

CME October live cattle futures fell 1.525 cents, to 108.35 cents/lb. (all figures US$). Most-active December cattle dropped 1.775 cents, to 110.825 cents.

CME January feeder cattle dropped 0.35 cent to 133.65 cents/lb. as rising grain prices translate to higher feed costs, cutting into profit margins.

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(Photo courtesy Canada Beef Inc.)

Feed Grains Weekly: Price likely to keep stepping back

As the harvest in southern Alberta presses on, a broker said that is one of the factors pulling feed prices lower in the region. Darcy Haley, vice-president of Ag Value Brokers in Lethbridge, added that lower cattle numbers in feedlots, plentiful amounts of grass for cattle to graze and a lacklustre export market also weighed on feed prices.

“The trade believes we are out of the woods on these front-end cattle, with respect to the pushing back from the packer shutdown, but we aren’t through these cattle,” said Larry Hicks, CEO of CattleHedging.com. “Expect lower fed cattle prices and live cattle futures the balance of October.”

Hicks said heavier carcass weights are reminiscent of the end of 2015, when prices dipped and remained lower through the beginning of 2016.

“We’re not going to have the big first-quarter rally into April that everybody thinks we seasonally should,” he said.

Boxed beef prices gained, with choice cuts adding $1.15, to $215.21, and select cuts increasing $1.70, to $201.52.

Packer margins fell to $226.65 per head on Monday, down $73.10 from a week ago, according to Denver-based livestock marketing advisory service HedgersEdge.com LLC.

Meanwhile, lean hogs ended lower as profit-taking pulled back the market after five days of gains.

Chicago Mercantile Exchange October lean hogs advanced 0.05 cent to 78.175 cents/lb. Most-active December hogs settled 0.5 cents lower at 66.625 cents.

— Christopher Walljasper reports on agriculture and ag commodities for Reuters from Chicago.

About the author

Christopher Walljasper

Christopher Walljasper

Chicago-based Thomson Reuters' reporter covering U.S. food production, supply chain, U.S. hunger and farm labor. Born in a farming community in Southeast Iowa, he graduated from Monmouth College in Illinois and received his master’s degree from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University.

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