U.S. grains: Soy down on South American weather, technical pressure

Firm U.S. dollar weighs on wheat; rising crop input costs supportive for corn

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Published: October 21, 2021

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CBOT November 2021 soybeans (candlesticks) with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages (yellow, dark green and black lines). (Barchart)

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago soybean futures fell on Thursday after five straight sessions of gains, pressured by technical resistance and beneficial forecasts for rain in top export competitor Brazil.

Wheat eased from a two-week high hit earlier on Thursday as weaker crude oil prices and a firmer U.S. dollar offset tightening global supplies.

Corn edged lower, supported by a daily export notice and higher input costs heading into next year.

The most-active soybean contract on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) ended 21-1/2 cents lower at $12.24 a bushel (all figures US$).

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Wheat lost eight cents to $7.41-1/4 a bushel, after hitting $7.52-1/2 overnight, its highest level since Oct. 7. Corn eased seven cents lower to $5.32-1/4 per bushel.

South American soybean crops look to benefit from rains forecast across Argentina and Brazil in the coming six to 10 days.

“If you’re putting some subsoil moisture down in Brazil,” said Kristi Van Ahn-Kjeseth, chief operating officer of consulting firm Van Ahn and Co. “That’s going to do wonders for them on their bean crop.”

Technical resistance for the most-active soybean contract at the 20- and 50-day moving averages also added pressure.

U.S. soybean export sales for the week ended Oct. 7 were 2.88 million tonnes, primarily due to sales to China, beating trade expectations, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

Corn losses were eased by a daily export sale of 130,000 tonnes to Mexico, as well as strong weekly ethanol production.

Corn markets were also underpinned by concerns of rising fertilizer prices, which will impact corn more than soybeans, as farmers consider planting decisions for the 2022 season.

“I think the inputs story is really what’s keeping support under the corn market,” said Andrew Jackson, broker at Producers Hedge. “There are growers seriously considering going heavier beans next year.”

U.S. weekly corn exports of 1.27 million tonnes were up 67 per cent from the previous four-week session, the USDA said, near the high end of analyst expectations.

Wheat eased, pressured by a firmer U.S. dollar.

U.S. weekly wheat exports of 362,400 tonnes were down 36 per cent from the previous week, but in line with analyst expectations.

— Reporting for Reuters by Christopher Walljasper in Chicago; additional reporting by Naveen Thukral and Sybille de la Hamaide.

About the author

Christopher Walljasper

Christopher Walljasper

Chicago-based Thomson Reuters' reporter covering U.S. food production, supply chain, U.S. hunger and farm labor. Born in a farming community in Southeast Iowa, he graduated from Monmouth College in Illinois and received his master’s degree from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University.

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