ICE November 2021 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger (20,2) bands. (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Volatility to come for canola market

'Tighten up your seatbelt'

MarketsFarm — Record-breaking temperatures in British Columbia, lingering extreme heat in the Prairie provinces and little to no precipitation have strengthened an ongoing rally in the ICE Futures canola market. One trader, however, warns that canola contracts may be in for a mercurial few weeks. “We’re clearly in a weather market that is extremely volatile,” […] Read more

ICE July 2021 canola (candlesticks) with 20-day movjng average (green line), ICE November 2021 canola (yellow line) and CBOT July 2021 soybeans (black line, left column). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Weather, carryout support canola

MarketsFarm — As higher-than-normal temperatures become almost a weekly occurrence in Western Canada amidst tightening carryout stocks, canola seems primed for another extended rally. Despite rains in Western Canada over the past three weeks, providing some relief for canola crops and triggering fund liquidation on the markets, carryout remains very low, with warmer temperatures exacerbating […] Read more





ICE November 2021 canola (candlesticks) with Bollinger bands (20,2) and July 2021 canola (yellow open/high/low/close). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Canola market pits weather against supplies

MarketsFarm — As dry conditions remained prevalent across the Canadian Prairies and U.S. northern Plains, despite recent precipitation, the markets were in a struggle between the weather and tightening supplies, according to Winnipeg analyst Wayne Palmer of Exceed Grain. So far for the week of June 7, central and northern Alberta received rain, followed by […] Read more




A view of Ceres Global Ag’s Northgate, Sask. facility as seen from its fertilizer shed in 2018. (Grainews photo by Lisa Guenther)

Ceres plans southern Saskatchewan canola crush plant

U.S. firm to build plant at border grain terminal

U.S. ag commodities firm Ceres Global Ag, which in recent years has built up a Prairie grain and oilseed origination hub near the North Dakota border in southeastern Saskatchewan, now plans to crush canola there also. The Minneapolis company said Tuesday it plans to spend US$350 million to build an integrated crush plant with capacity […] Read more


(File photo by Dave Bedard)

Net long position in canola edging down

Net long increases in Chicago, K.C. wheat

MarketsFarm — The managed money net long position in canola has edged down over the past few months, hitting its lowest level since August 2020 in the latest Commitment of Traders report from the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). As of Tuesday, managed money fund traders were holding a net long position in ICE […] Read more

ICE November 2021 canola (candlesticks) with 20-day moving average (green line) and July 2021 canola (yellow open/high/low/close). (Barchart)

ICE weekly outlook: Attention turns to new-crop canola

'Somebody's feet will be held to the fire'

MarketsFarm — Wide price swings in the nearby ICE Futures July canola contract over the past few weeks have sent most commercial trade into the new-crop November, with direction in the front month hard to predict given recent volatility. “Where (July canola) finally goes off the board, I have no idea, but I wouldn’t be […] Read more