Feed Grain Weekly: Tariff fears on cattle leads to weak demand

Expect slow spring, summer

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(Photo courtesy Canada Beef Inc.)

Glacier FarmMedia MarketsFarm — As tariff issues continue to hover around the globe, there has been a sharp reduction in the number of cattle in Canadian feedlots, said Darcy Haley, vice-president of Ag Value Brokers in Lethbridge. And that has reduced the demand for feed grains in Western Canada to a trickle.

“The end user up here wanted to get those cattle across the line before there was a tariff, because they were $850 per head. They weren’t going to take any chances,” Haley explained.

He said despite there currently being no tariffs on Canadian cattle heading to the U.S., feedlots such as those in Lethbridge have been exporting as much as they can on fears there could be down the road.

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“Replacement cattle are for the most part non-existent,” Haley stated, noting there’s too much risk to be had. With that, he estimated the demand for feed grains has dropped 20 per cent for this time of year.

With pastures soon to turn green, Haley said the demand for feed grains could get weaker and might not improve until October.

“Expect a very slow spring and summer,” he stated, pointing out that some feedlots have extended their March contracts into April because they have far fewer cattle to feed.

Haley said feed barley is currently priced around C$305 per tonne delivered Lethbridge, with U.S. corn imports up to C$8/tonne more but still competitive. Feed wheat is about C$318/tonne.

“Wheat is just kicked right out of the ration because it’s too expensive and the quality is too good,” he said and summarized the Prairie feed grain market. “The end user will absolutely not buy anything until they have to.”

About the author

Glen Hallick

Glen Hallick

Reporter

Glen Hallick grew up in rural Manitoba near Starbuck, where his family farmed. Glen has a degree in political studies from the University of Manitoba and studied creative communications at Red River College. Before joining Glacier FarmMedia, Glen was an award-winning reporter and editor with several community newspapers and group editor for the Interlake Publishing Group. Glen is an avid history buff and enjoys following politics.

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