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Klassen: Feeder cattle market stabilizes

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Published: November 27, 2018

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(Photo courtesy Canada Beef Inc.)

Western Canadian feeder cattle markets were unchanged from week-ago levels. Favourable weather conditions enhanced buying interest from cattle feeders in Feedlot Alley; however, cattle-on-feed inventories in Alberta and Saskatchewan are running 16 per cent above year-ago levels.

Pen space remains at a premium due to limited capacity. County permit fees and added regulations have also contributed to the higher yardage costs. After years of consolidation in the feedlot sector, some idle capacity has come back on stream. Custom cattle feeders don’t want to guarantee a cost per pound gain given the uncertainty in feed grain prices. This has made it difficult for the cattle feeding investor, but these players are slowly finding space and negotiating terms before year-end.

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Steady demand was noted from Ontario buyers in the eastern Prairie regions. U.S. interest was quiet due to the Thanksgiving holiday. U.S. cash feeder prices remain under pressure, which has spilled over into Western Canada.

In central Alberta, a group of Charolais mixed steers weighing just over 600 lbs. sold for $208; in Manitoba, a group of Angus-based Simmental blended steers averaging 590 lbs. sold for $214. East-central Saskatchewan was a hot pocket for lighter weight calves. Mixed steers averaging 510 lbs. were quoted at $234; in southern Alberta, medium- to larger-frame tan steers averaging 520 lbs. were valued at $225 landed in the feedlot. The cow-calf producer appears to be selling cattle sooner than normal this year. Auction market reports note a year-over-year increase in the number of lightweight bawlers coming on the market. In southern Manitoba, Angus mixed steers averaging 450 lbs. were quoted at $244; in central Alberta, red mixed steers averaging 425 lbs. sold for $254.

The mid-week release of the U.S. Department of Agriculture’s Cattle on Feed report was supportive for the nearby fed cattle market; however, cattle feeders continue to eye the year-over-year increase in beef production next summer. China’s investigating Australia for “anti-dumping” barley, which could result in larger offshore movement for Canadian feed barley. All the trade issues in the world have added to the cautious attitude amongst feedlot operators. Buyers lack confidence this year.

— Jerry Klassen manages the Canadian office of Swiss-based grain trader GAP SA Grains and Produits Ltd. and is president and founder of Resilient Capital, specializing in proprietary commodity futures trading and market analysis. Jerry consults with feedlots on risk management and writes a weekly cattle market commentary. He can be reached at 204-504-8339.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Contributor

Jerry Klassen graduated from the University of Alberta in 1996 with a degree in Agriculture Business. He has over 25 years of commodity trading and analytical experience working with various grain companies in all aspects of international grain merchandising. From 2010 through 2019, he was manager of Canadian operations for Swiss based trading company GAP SA Grains and Products ltd. Throughout his career, he has travelled to 37 countries and from 2017-2021, he was Chairman of the Canadian Grain and Oilseed Exporter Association. Jerry has a passion for farming; he owns land in Manitoba and Saskatchewan; the family farm/feedlot is in Southern Alberta. Since 2009, he has used the analytical skills to provide cattle and feed grain market analysis for feedlot operators in Alberta and Ontario. For speaking engagements or to subscribe to the Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, please contact him at 204 504 8339 or see the website www.resilcapital.com.

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