U.S. livestock: CME feeder cattle, deferred live cattle set highs on tight supply

Hog futures down on lower export sales

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Published: September 8, 2023

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CME June 2024 live cattle with 20-day moving average and October 2023 live cattle (black line). (Barchart)

Chicago | Reuters — U.S. feeder cattle futures and deferred live cattle futures climbed to new peaks on Friday, as limited U.S. supplies continued to propel prices.

Inventories of U.S. cattle dwindled to their lowest levels in decades after producers reduced their herds over the last year because drought reduced the availability of pastures for grazing.

“It’s a bull market,” said Scott Varilek, broker at Kooima Kooima Varilek Trading. “We have tight, tight supplies.”

October feeder cattle futures finished up 0.275 cent at 259.15 cents/lb. at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and reached a contract high of 259.65 cents (all figures US$).

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U.S. livestock: Feeder cattle extend rally to new highs

Chicago Mercantile Exchange feeder cattle futures extended gains to record highs on Wednesday while live cattle futures set a contract high before pulling back.

Live cattle set highs in the June 2024 and August 2024 contracts. Nearby October live cattle ended down 0.425 cent at 183.225 cents/lb., a day after touching their highest price since July 20.

Gains this week signal expectations for higher cash cattle prices, brokers said. They added that producers are willing to delay sales to processors to wait for higher prices.

Meatpackers are earning money processing cattle, which helps to support demand, brokers said. On Friday, their estimated margins were $59 per head of cattle, down from $72.45 on Thursday and $59.35 a week ago, HedgersEdge.com said.

Packers slaughtered an estimated 125,000 cattle, compared to 122,000 cattle a week ago and 128,000 cattle a year ago, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said. Boxed beef prices rose for choice cuts by $1.24, to $312.90/cwt, USDA said separately.

High beef prices reduced U.S. export demand after cattle supplies tightened. Weekly U.S. beef export sales for 2023 were 11,900 metric tonnes, down 34 per cent from the previous week and 20 per cent from the prior four-week average, USDA said.

For pork, weekly U.S. export sales were 26,300 tonnes for 2023, down 29 per cent from the previous week and 13 per cent from the prior four-week average.

CME October lean hog futures ended 1.3 cents weaker at 81.525 cents/lb. after touching their lowest price since Aug. 30 at 80.95 cents.

— Tom Polansek reports on agriculture and ag commodities for Reuters from Chicago.

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