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AAFC ups canola/pea ending stocks projections amid tariff woes

Geopolical risks and trade uncertainty may alter outlook

Canadian canola and pea ending stocks may end up considerably larger at the close of the 2025/26 marketing year than originally thought if recently-imposed Chinese tariffs remain in place through the marketing year, said Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada in its latest supply/demand estimates released March 21.






Grain bins in a Saskatchewan field. (MysticEnergy/iStock/Getty Images)

Less Canadian wheat, more canola on hand to end 2023: StatCan

Some had anticipated even larger on-farm canola stocks, given slower export pace

Canadian wheat stocks at the end of 2023 were considerably tighter compared to the previous year, with oats, corn and pulse crops also seeing supply reductions, according to the latest stocks report from Statistics Canada, released Feb. 8, 2024. However, canola, barley and soybean stocks as of Dec. 31, 2023, were higher compared to the previous year.

File photo of a partially harvested cornfield in Minnesota. (Emholk/iStock/Getty Images)

USDA’s WASDE report throws a few curveballs

Corn carryover up significantly

MarketsFarm — There were some surprises in the November world agricultural supply and demand estimates (WASDE) from the U.S. Department of Agriculture, released Thursday. USDA defied trade expectations when it came to 2023-24 ending stocks of U.S. corn, soybeans, and all wheat, with those being higher. As well, the department came in above what the […] Read more


(Photo: Dave Bedard/File)

Little change in AAFC’s October supply/demand outlook

Canola, wheat, pea carryout estimates unchanged

MarketsFarm — Supply/demand estimates for Canadian grains and oilseeds saw little change in the latest outlook for principal field crops from Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada (AAFC) released Monday. Canola ending stocks for 2023-24 were left unchanged at one million tonnes, which compares with the 2022-23 level of 1.506 million tonnes. Canadian canola exports in 2023-24 […] Read more

One Canada Square (tower at centre) houses the London head office of the International Grains Council (IGC). (Iliffd/iStock/Getty Images)

Cuts to corn output drag IGC’s overall estimates lower

Wheat production estimate up, soy down

MarketsFarm — Reductions to global corn production for 2023-24 resulted in the International Grains Council cutting some of its numbers in its monthly supply and demand report issued Thursday. The London-based IGC reduced its forecast for world corn output from its September call of approximately 1.222 billion tonnes, to 1.219 billion. Although total use in […] Read more


CBOT November 2023 soybeans with 20- and 50-day moving averages and December 2023 soymeal (dark grey line, left column). (Barchart)

U.S. grains: Chicago soybeans surge after USDA projects smaller soy, corn crops

CBOT corn, wheat also higher

New York | Reuters — Chicago soybean and corn futures shot up on Thursday following a closely watched U.S. government report forecasting a smaller corn and soybean harvest than previously projected, and below an average of analysts’ estimates. The Chicago Board of Trade’s (CBOT) most-active soybean futures contract jumped about three per cent to settle […] Read more

(Christophe Paul photo courtesy USDA)

CBOT weekly outlook: Markets react bullishly to USDA report

Corn, soy production estimates revised lower

MarketsFarm — Most of the October world agricultural supply/demand estimates (WASDE) released Thursday from the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) came out lower than trade expectations, causing price jumps on the Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT). “Many people were not expecting a major (average) yield change,” Ryan Ettner, trader for Allendale Inc. in McHenry, Ill. […] Read more