Prairie Forecast Update: Southern areas may get Hilary’s leftovers

Issued Aug. 20, covering Aug. 20-23

Reading Time: < 1 minute

Published: August 21, 2023

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Floodwaters flow into Gower Gulch near Zabriskie Point, about 190 km west of Las Vegas, in California’s Death Valley National Park on Aug. 20, 2023. The U.S. National Park Service closed the park effective that afternoon due to moderate to heavy rainfall and flash flooding from Tropical Storm Hilary. (Death Valley National Park/National Park Service video screengrab via Facebook)

An interesting weather pattern is currently in place across western North America with Tropical Storm Hilary taking an unusual northerly track as it comes in off the Pacific Ocean south of California.

Tropical storms or hurricanes in that region normally do one of two things: they either recurve back out into the Pacific, or move eastward into Mexico. Hilary is tracking due north, into California, and while the mountainous terrain will quickly disrupt and wring out the moisture from this system, it looks like the remains of this system will move into the northern U.S. and southern Prairie provinces over the next couple of days.

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The remains of Hilary will move northward as a remnant low which will slowly track by just our south over the next three days. The low will bring clouds and scattered showers to southern regions with the best chances for rain on Tuesday and Wednesday. The easterly flow around this low could bring significant rainfalls to far western Alberta. Temperatures in southern Saskatchewan and Manitoba will be mild, with highs expected to be in the mid-20s. Most of Alberta along with central and northern regions of Saskatchewan and Manitoba will be cooler, with highs struggling to break 20 C.

— Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a B.A. (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology from the University of Winnipeg. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park, Man. Contact him via email with your questions and comments.

About the author

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a B.A. (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology from the University of Winnipeg. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park, Man.

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