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Klassen: Feeder cattle exports way down

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Published: November 24, 2009

Nov. 23 — Feeder cattle markets were steady to $2 lower in Western Canada for the week ending Nov. 20. Margins for the finishing feedlot remain deep in red ink and there is very little buying enthusiasm among feedlot managers these days. The fed cattle market in Alberta traded in the range of $76-$78 per hundredweight (cwt) last week and these are the lowest prices so far in 2009.

Canadian feeder cattle exports continue to lag year-ago levels. For the week ending Nov. 6, exports were 2,641 head compared to 7,905 head last year. Feeder cattle prices in the U.S. were steady to $3 lower on average. Prices for feeder steers in Alberta are US$3/cwt premium on average compared to values in Oklahoma.

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The market is keeping the export program to a minimum, which is rather surprising given the expected supplies in Western Canada. U.S. feeder cattle placements during October were one per cent above year-ago levels; this is the fourth straight month of higher placement numbers.

The environment is that we have larger U.S. feedlot placements, significantly lower Canadian feeder cattle exports and lower placements in Canadian feedlots. We are not seeing U.S. heifers held back for herd maintenance.

It appears the U.S. cattle herd will stay in contraction phase for 2010, given the cow slaughter and heifer placement numbers. The Canadian cattle herd will also stay in contraction mode for 2010 and possibly 2011.

— Gerald Klassen is a cattle and hog market analyst in Winnipeg and also maintains an interest in the family feedlot in southern Alberta. He can be contacted by email with any questions or comments.

About the author

Jerry Klassen

Jerry Klassen

Contributor

Jerry Klassen graduated from the University of Alberta in 1996 with a degree in Agriculture Business. He has over 25 years of commodity trading and analytical experience working with various grain companies in all aspects of international grain merchandising. From 2010 through 2019, he was manager of Canadian operations for Swiss based trading company GAP SA Grains and Products ltd. Throughout his career, he has travelled to 37 countries and from 2017-2021, he was Chairman of the Canadian Grain and Oilseed Exporter Association. Jerry has a passion for farming; he owns land in Manitoba and Saskatchewan; the family farm/feedlot is in Southern Alberta. Since 2009, he has used the analytical skills to provide cattle and feed grain market analysis for feedlot operators in Alberta and Ontario. For speaking engagements or to subscribe to the Canadian Feedlot and Cattle Market Analysis, please contact him at 204 504 8339 or see the website www.resilcapital.com.

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