Prairie Forecast Update: Forecast on track

Forecast issued May 14, 2023, covering the half-week stretch from May 14 to 17, 2023

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Published: May 15, 2023

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Hailstones in Winnipeg on May 10, 2023. (Dave Bedard photo)

The weather models have been remarkably accurate for this time of the year. The big weather picture remains the same. There is a large, persistent ridge of high pressure over far Western Canada with an equally persistent trough of low pressure over Eastern Canada. This means western regions will continue to see sunny, dry and warm conditions while eastern regions of Canada are cool and wet. The weather models keep showing this western ridge trying to build eastward, but there continues to be a battle between it and the eastern trough of low pressure. So far, the ridge has been winning out across the Prairies.

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As previously forecasted, an area of low pressure is still expected to develop over far northern Alberta on Tuesday and track southeast across the Prairies on Wednesday. The trailing cold front behind this low will cool temperatures off by a good 10 C across northern regions of Alberta and Saskatchewan on Wednesday and Thursday, with cooler temperatures pushing as far south as southern Manitoba briefly on Thursday before rebounding. Northern agricultural Saskatchewan, along with central and some parts of southern Manitoba could see the odd shower at some point on Wednesday or Thursday as the cold front pushes through.

— Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a B.A. (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology from the University of Winnipeg. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park, Man. Contact him via email with your questions and comments.

About the author

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte

Daniel Bezte is a teacher by profession with a B.A. (Hon.) in geography, specializing in climatology from the University of Winnipeg. He operates a computerized weather station near Birds Hill Park, Man.

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