U.S. livestock: CME cattle futures fall on technical trading ahead of reports

Lean hog futures also ended the day lower

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Published: December 19, 2023

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Live cattle futures LEG24 on Dec. 19 with 20, 50 and 100 day moving averages. (Barchart)

Chicago | ReutersChicago Mercantile Exchange cattle futures closed lower on Tuesday on technical trading and investors adjusting their positions ahead of a series of key government reports, analysts said.

Lean hog futures also ended the day lower.

The U.S. Department of Agriculture on Friday is slated to issue quarterly data on the size of the U.S. hog herd, along with separate monthly reports on the number of U.S. cattle on feed and on inventories of frozen meat in U.S. cold storage facilities.

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The U.S. hog herd was likely about 0.5 per cent smaller on Dec. 1 compared to a year earlier, a Reuters survey of analysts showed on Tuesday ahead of the U.S. Department of Agriculture‘s quarterly Hogs and Pigs report.

In the cattle markets, live cattle futures early in the session extended their gains from Monday, bringing futures more in line with recent cash prices.

But that upward trend shifted as traders are beginning to question how long consumer demand will remain strong, despite high prices and growing concerns about the economy, said Karl Setzer, a partner at Consus Ag Consulting.

Cattle carcass weights are also increasing, as the relatively mild U.S. winter has meant that animals are not showing signs of weight loss as can be common during extended cold conditions, Setzer said.

“There is a growing sense in the trade that the production side is outweighing what the demand for beef will be after the holidays,” Setzer said.

CME’s most-active live cattle February contract LCG24 settled down 0.850 cent lower, at 168.775 cents per pound. And CME January feeder cattle FCF24 fell 1.275 cents to 221.900 cents per pound.

In the pork market, CME February lean hogs LHG24 closed 1.025 cents lower, at 70.550 cents per pound.

–Reporting Reuters by P.J. Huffstutter in Chicago.

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