U.S. livestock: Lean hogs climb as traders eye seasonal supply shifts

Cattle futures down ahead of long weekend

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Published: August 30, 2023

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CME October 2023 lean hogs with 20-, 50- and 100-day moving averages. (Barchart)

Chicago | Reuters — Chicago Mercantile Exchange lean hog futures climbed on Wednesday, finding support as traders gauged pork demand and watched for signs of a seasonal influx of market-ready hogs.

“We still have an index that’s higher than the October. It usually doesn’t close the gap until we get into September a week or two,” said Scott Varilek, broker at Kooima Kooima Varilek Trading Inc. “I think we’ve got some supply coming to the fourth quarter that’s gonna give it a little negative tone.”

Most-active October lean hog futures gained 2.875 cents, to 83.6 cents/lb. (all figures US$).

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Wholesale pork carcass cutout eased 26 cents by midday, to $92.59/cwt.

Pork processors slaughtered 468,000 head, down 10,000 from the same period last year, the USDA said.

The CME’s Lean Hog Index, a two-day weighted average of cash prices, last eased to 93.89 cents/lb.

Meanwhile, CME live cattle futures slipped lower, though fundamentals remain supportive, Varilek said.

“I’m still a little long term friendly, due to tight supplies. We have not seen heifer retention yet,” he said, referring to producers keeping heifers from slaughter to breed more calves.

The most-active October live cattle dipped 1.425 cents, to 180.05 cents/lb., while October feeder cattle fell 1.525 cents, to 255.225 cents/lb.

Packers have not been aggressively courting producers for market-ready cattle, Varilek said, as the upcoming Labour Day holiday weekend will mean smaller slaughter numbers.

Beef packers slaughtered 125,000 head, down 2,000 head from the same period a year ago, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said.

Boxed beef prices were mixed, with choice cuts gaining 75 cents, to $315.11/cwt., while select cuts fell 15 cents, to $289.53/cwt, USDA said.

— Christopher Walljasper reports on agriculture and ag commodities for Reuters from Chicago.

About the author

Christopher Walljasper

Christopher Walljasper

Chicago-based Thomson Reuters' reporter covering U.S. food production, supply chain, U.S. hunger and farm labor. Born in a farming community in Southeast Iowa, he graduated from Monmouth College in Illinois and received his master’s degree from the Medill School of Journalism at Northwestern University.

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