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After peaking in earlier October, yearling markets are now trending lower.
Market talk, Markets

A few observations regarding the feeder cattle market

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
Throughout the fall period, western Canadian calves were trading $10 to $15 below year-ago levels. Yearlings were quite firm earlier in September, reaching up to 52-week highs. After peaking in the first half of October, the yearling market has been slowly trending lower. This is counter-seasonal to price patterns we’ve seen in past years. Usually, […] Read more
The Federal Reserve’s influence on cattle prices
Market talk, Markets

The Federal Reserve’s influence on cattle prices

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
The U.S. Federal Reserve cut its key benchmark rate by 25 basis points on October 30, bringing its lending rate to the range of 1.50 per cent to 1.75 per cent. This was the third rate cut since July and it appears that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will wait for further economic data before making […] Read more
Increasing Canadian barley production is likely to keep the market under pressure for the 2019-20 crop year.
Market talk, Markets

Fall feed barley update

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
It’s that time of year when I receive many inquiries about the feed barley outlook. During late June and early July, feed barley in the Lethbridge area was trading in the range of $285/mt to as high as $300/mt. At the time of writing this article in early September, feed barley was trading from $210/mt […] Read more
This spring had cattle-on-feed placements sharply higher than year-ago levels in the mid-weight categories which will result in a sharp year-over-year increase in market-ready supplies this fall.
Market talk, Markets

Soft beef demand outlook for September and October

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
Alberta fed cattle prices have been hovering in the range of $143 to $148 throughout the summer period. The market has been relatively stable without any major changes to supply and demand. Looking forward, beef production is expected to increase during September and October. At the same time, demand moves through a seasonal low. It’s […] Read more
The U.S. bond yield premium over Canadian bond yields is eroding.
Market talk, Markets

Canadian dollar enters fresh fundamentals: Klassen

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
Canadian fed and feeder cattle prices have been enhanced by the weaker exchange rate since oil prices crumbled back in the spring of 2014. At that time, the Canadian dollar was highly correlated with crude oil values. The Canadian election in 2015 contributed to the softer currency as the Liberal fiscal policies were negative for […] Read more
Constellation of prices for live, feeder cattle futures
Livestock, Market talk, Markets

Constellation of prices for live, feeder cattle futures

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
The live and feeder cattle futures markets exhibit a behaviour commonly known as “the constellation of prices.” Understanding the price relationship between the live and feeder cattle futures can be invaluable when deciding to market calves or implement some type of hedging strategy using the price insurance. In this article, I’m going to discuss how […] Read more
The barley market needs to encourage acreage for 2019.
Barley, Market talk, Markets

Feed barley update

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
The feed barley market has been relatively flat throughout the winter. During the last week of January, Lethbridge-area feedlots were buying feed barley in the range of $255/mt to $260/mt delivered. At the same time, central Alberta feedlots were making purchases from $245/mt to $250/mt. Barley stocks are projected to drop to historical lows by […] Read more
Feeder cattle market digesting many variables
Market talk, Markets

Feeder cattle market digesting many variables

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
The feeder cattle market was quite volatile throughout the final quarter of 2018. The weaker Canadian dollar enhanced demand from south of the border. At the same time, domestic feedlot operators were contending with rising feed grain prices and uncertain fed cattle prices for the first and second quarters of 2019. April live cattle futures […] Read more
canadian dollar
Market talk, Markets

Canadian dollar outlook

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
The Canadian dollar has been trading near 52-week lows, supporting fed and feeder cattle prices. Canadian year-to-date feeder cattle exports to the U.S. for the week ending November 10 were 175,122 head, up a whopping 59 per cent over year-ago levels. While fed cattle exports to the U.S. are running 19 per cent below last […] Read more

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