GFM Network News


After peaking in earlier October, yearling markets are now trending lower.

A few observations regarding the feeder cattle market

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

Throughout the fall period, western Canadian calves were trading $10 to $15 below year-ago levels. Yearlings were quite firm earlier in September, reaching up to 52-week highs. After peaking in the first half of October, the yearling market has been slowly trending lower. This is counter-seasonal to price patterns we’ve seen in past years. Usually, […] Read more

The Federal Reserve’s influence on cattle prices

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

The U.S. Federal Reserve cut its key benchmark rate by 25 basis points on October 30, bringing its lending rate to the range of 1.50 per cent to 1.75 per cent. This was the third rate cut since July and it appears that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will wait for further economic data before making […] Read more



Understanding the Commitment of Traders Report

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

Who is long? Who is short? How much of each? This is one of the most valuable pieces of information when analyzing the futures market. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) publishes the Commitment of Traders Report every Friday. The report shows the futures position of larger traders as of the previous Tuesday. It’s important […] Read more


Increasing Canadian barley production is likely to keep the market under pressure for the 2019-20 crop year.

Fall feed barley update

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

It’s that time of year when I receive many inquiries about the feed barley outlook. During late June and early July, feed barley in the Lethbridge area was trading in the range of $285/mt to as high as $300/mt. At the time of writing this article in early September, feed barley was trading from $210/mt […] Read more

This spring had cattle-on-feed placements sharply higher than year-ago levels in the mid-weight categories which will result in a sharp year-over-year increase in market-ready supplies this fall.

Soft beef demand outlook for September and October

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

Alberta fed cattle prices have been hovering in the range of $143 to $148 throughout the summer period. The market has been relatively stable without any major changes to supply and demand. Looking forward, beef production is expected to increase during September and October. At the same time, demand moves through a seasonal low. It’s […] Read more


The U.S. bond yield premium over Canadian bond yields is eroding.

Canadian dollar enters fresh fundamentals: Klassen

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

Canadian fed and feeder cattle prices have been enhanced by the weaker exchange rate since oil prices crumbled back in the spring of 2014. At that time, the Canadian dollar was highly correlated with crude oil values. The Canadian election in 2015 contributed to the softer currency as the Liberal fiscal policies were negative for […] Read more

Canadian farmers are expected to increase barley acreage this year as U.S. farmers plant more corn acres.

Klassen: Barley outlook

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

The feed grains complex has been volatile over the past month as the market moves through a transition phase. During the second week of May, southern Alberta feedlots were buying feed barley in the range of $255/mt to $265/mt delivered while central Alberta operations were making purchases from $240/mt to $250/mt delivered. For September delivery, […] Read more


Constellation of prices for live, feeder cattle futures

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

The live and feeder cattle futures markets exhibit a behaviour commonly known as “the constellation of prices.” Understanding the price relationship between the live and feeder cattle futures can be invaluable when deciding to market calves or implement some type of hedging strategy using the price insurance. In this article, I’m going to discuss how […] Read more

The feeder cattle market is anticipating a surge in feedlot placements during the spring.

A few observations on the feeder cattle market

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

Over the past month, I’ve received inquiries about the market outlook for feeder cattle. During February and March, yearling prices were grinding lower while the market for calves was near 52-week highs. There was a clear divorce in the price structure between the heavier and lighter weight categories. Therefore, I thought this would be a […] Read more