GFM Network News

Feed grains outlook

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

I’ve received many inquiries regarding the feed grain outlook for the 2020-21 crop year. Grass cattle and calves have been relatively firm over the past month despite the COVID-19 pandemic. It appears that cattle producers are banking on a very bearish corn and barley market for the upcoming fall and winter. Therefore, I thought this […] Read more

A year-over-year decline in calf crops

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

Over the past couple of weeks, I’ve received many inquiries about the price outlook for feeder cattle. Calving season has been in full swing for over a month for many cow-calf operations. Producers are concerned about price behaviour over the next four to six months given the recent meltdown in the financial and commodity markets. […] Read more

Beef production will likely be slightly below year-ago levels during the latter half of 2020.

Fed cattle market outlook

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

Alberta fed cattle prices reached up to $275 on a dressed basis during the first half of January but have since come under pressure. At the time of writing this article at the end of January, Alberta packers were showing bids in the range of $262 to $265 delivered. April live cattle futures reached contract […] Read more

Feed barley outlook

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

I’ve received many inquiries from feedlot and backgrounding operators regarding the price outlook for feed barley. The Western Canadian feed grains complex made seasonal lows during September of 2019. Lethbridge area feedlots were buying feed barley at just under $200/mt delivered. However, the market started to ratchet higher during October. Adverse weather and the delayed […] Read more

After peaking in earlier October, yearling markets are now trending lower.

A few observations regarding the feeder cattle market

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

Throughout the fall period, western Canadian calves were trading $10 to $15 below year-ago levels. Yearlings were quite firm earlier in September, reaching up to 52-week highs. After peaking in the first half of October, the yearling market has been slowly trending lower. This is counter-seasonal to price patterns we’ve seen in past years. Usually, […] Read more

The Federal Reserve’s influence on cattle prices

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

The U.S. Federal Reserve cut its key benchmark rate by 25 basis points on October 30, bringing its lending rate to the range of 1.50 per cent to 1.75 per cent. This was the third rate cut since July and it appears that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will wait for further economic data before making […] Read more

Understanding the Commitment of Traders Report

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

Who is long? Who is short? How much of each? This is one of the most valuable pieces of information when analyzing the futures market. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) publishes the Commitment of Traders Report every Friday. The report shows the futures position of larger traders as of the previous Tuesday. It’s important […] Read more

Increasing Canadian barley production is likely to keep the market under pressure for the 2019-20 crop year.

Fall feed barley update

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

It’s that time of year when I receive many inquiries about the feed barley outlook. During late June and early July, feed barley in the Lethbridge area was trading in the range of $285/mt to as high as $300/mt. At the time of writing this article in early September, feed barley was trading from $210/mt […] Read more