
Weather

CBOT weekly outlook: Poor crop ratings keep soy, corn supported
Major changes not expected in next WASDE
MarketsFarm — Hot and dry weather conditions cutting into crop ratings for soybeans and corn in the U.S. could see prices for both crops rise above nearby chart resistance levels, although the looming harvest may temper the upside potential. Both soybeans and corn were rated 53 per cent good-to-excellent in the latest weekly crop report […] Read more

U.S. grains: Soy futures jump as heat, dryness hurt crop more than expected
USDA rates soy, corn crops least good-to-excellent since 2012
Chicago | Reuters — Chicago Board of Trade soybean futures jumped on Wednesday after weekly U.S. government data showed crop conditions deteriorated more than expected during hot, dry weather. Reduced crop ratings fuelled expectations among traders that the U.S. Department of Agriculture may cut its yield forecast in a monthly report due next week. USDA […] Read more

Panama Canal water levels at historic lows, restrictions to remain
Lake feeding canal low on rainfall
Panama City | Reuters — The Panama Canal’s water levels have not recovered enough as the end of the rainy season approaches and limits on daily transit and vessel draft will stay in place for the rest of the year and throughout 2024, the waterway’s authority said on Tuesday. The restrictions, implemented earlier this year […] Read more

Pulse weekly outlook: Poor monsoon rains cut into India production
Canadian crops also expected lower
MarketsFarm — Disappointing monsoon rains in India this year are expected to cut into the country’s pulse production, according to reports out of the country. Crop production in India is highly dependent on the monsoon rains that typically soak the country from June through September, but the moisture to date was about nine per cent […] Read more

Australian crop estimates adjusted slightly lower
Crop seen down 34 per cent from last year
MarketsFarm — Total 2023-24 winter crop production in Australia, at an estimated 45.2 million tonnes, is expected to be 34 per cent off the record highs hit last year but slightly above the June forecast as upward revisions to canola and barley counter a downward revision to the wheat number, according to the latest crop […] Read more

U.S. grains: Wheat up off three-month low as Australian crop declines
U.S. corn, soy crop ratings fall more than expected
Chicago | Reuters — Chicago Board of Trade wheat futures edged higher on Tuesday, after hitting a three-month low, amid short covering and concerns about dry weather threatening production in export hubs including Australia. Corn futures also rose, while the soybean market eased as traders awaited the start of U.S. harvesting. After the markets closed, […] Read more

Prairie Forecast: Mostly sunny and warm
Issued Aug. 30, covering Aug. 30 to Sept. 6
It’s a straightforward forecast for this period as the general weather pattern looks to be pretty quiet. It starts with a large area of high pressure centred over the Great Lakes with a weak area of low pressure over Alberta. The Great Lakes high will put sunny skies and warm temperatures over much of Manitoba […] Read more

Pulse weekly outlook: Lentils, peas show large declines in StatCan report
Chickpea, soy production expected up on the year
MarketsFarm — Statistics Canada (StatCan) showed a mostly tightened outlook for Canadian pulses in its first model-based supply/demand estimates for the 2023-24 marketing year. StatCan on Tuesday released those projections, which largely presented a reduction in yields due to ongoing dry conditions on the Prairies. As of July 31, Canadian dry field pea output was […] Read more

U.S. grains: Corn, soybeans climb as U.S. crop concerns grow
Crop tour forecasts crops below USDA estimates
Chicago | Reuters — Chicago soybeans and corn climbed on Monday after a U.S. farm survey predicted smaller crop production than government forecasts due to hot, dry conditions across the U.S. Midwest. Wheat dipped on weak demand for U.S. crops, coupled with competition from cheap Russian supplies. Chicago Board of Trade most-active soybeans gained 18 […] Read more

Prairie forecast: unsettled to start then clearing and warmer
Issued Aug. 23, covering Aug. 23 to 30
Once again, the weather models are in good agreement so confidence in this forecast is fairly high. The only possible issue is that the different weather systems are rather weak which means timing of the systems can change easily. This forecast period starts off with two weak areas of low pressure, one over southern Manitoba, […] Read more