U.S. livestock: Weak cash price outlook drops CME live cattle

Chicago | Reuters –– Chicago Mercantile Exchange live cattle settled lower on Thursday in anticipation of packers spending less for market-ready, or cash, cattle this week, traders said.

October live cattle futures finished 1.425 cents per pound lower at 155.6 cents, and December at 158.925 cents down 1.075 cents (all figures US$).

Processors may cut slaughters, and resist raising bids for cattle, to recoup lost margins and improve wholesale beef prices, traders and analysts said.

A beef processing plant may be offline on Friday for scheduled repairs, which should reduce their need for supplies, they said.

Thursday morning’s choice wholesale beef price fell 76 cents per hundredweight (cwt) to $245.15. Select gained 49 cents to $232.81, the U.S. Department of Agriculture said.

Beef packer margins were a negative $66.70 per head, compared with a negative $55.25 on Wednesday and a positive $1.70 a week ago, according to Colorado-based analytics firm HedgersEdge.com.

Isolated cash cattle bids surfaced in Kansas at $155/cwt against sellers asking $164, feedlot sources said. Last week, cash cattle in the U.S. Plains sold at $161 to $162.

The weak cash price prospect stirred bear spreads, which consisted of traders who sold the October contract and simultaneously bought back months.

Investors await USDA’s monthly Cattle-On-Feed report on Friday.

Analysts expect the data to show fewer cattle arrived in feedlots last month after sufficient pastures allowed ranchers to fatten animals outside of feedyards longer.

CME feeder cattle futures felt pressure from profit-taking and live cattle market selling.

September and October closed down 0.4 cent/lb. to 229.9 and 227.7 cents, respectively.

Lower hog futures settlement

CME lean hogs ended lower, but off session lows, after traders sold the October contract and at the same time bought deferred months through bear spreads, a trader said.

Investors conducted bear spreads with the view that a seasonal bump in supplies could pressure cash hog and wholesale pork values.

Traders said they prefer to wait for USDA’s afternoon hog and pork price data that have more packer participation than the morning reports.

Thursday morning’s average hog price in the eastern Midwest was down 59 cents/cwt at $99.31, USDA said.

Separate data showed the morning wholesale pork price rose $1.52/cwt to $111.63.

Some speculators adjusted deferred-month positions in advance of the government’s quarterly hog report on Sept. 26.

October closed 2.125 cents/lb. lower at 102.975 cents.

December finished down 0.1 cent/lb. at 93.8, after returning above the respective 20-day and 40-day moving averages of 93.3 and 92.76 cents.

— Theopolis Waters reports on livestock futures markets for Reuters from Chicago.

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