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The constellation of prices is when the deferred live cattle futures behave and move in tandem with the nearby contract.
Beef Cattle, Market talk, Markets

Constellation of cattle futures prices and futures markets spreads

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
The live and feeder cattle futures markets experienced sharp downward price behaviour during the final quarter of 2024. Although the price weakness was being influenced by the nearby fundamentals, the deferred live and feeder cattle contracts were also trending lower. In this article, I’m going to discuss market behaviour referred to as the “constellation of […] Read more
Feed grain prices poised to strengthen
Beef Cattle, Market talk, Markets

Feed grain prices poised to strengthen

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
During the first week of January, Lethbridge area feedlots were buying feed barley in the range of $310-$320/tonne delivered. In central Alberta, operations were making purchases from $270/tonne to $310/tonne. The feed barley market came under pressure in December after the release of Statistics Canada’s November crop survey. Weaker corn prices have also contributed to […] Read more
Fed cattle supplies are not tight
Market talk, Markets

Fed cattle supplies are not tight

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
The April 2024 live cattle futures reached a contract high of $199.82/cwt on September 15. Since then, the cash and futures markets have been grinding lower and at the time of writing this article, the April live cattle contract was at $175.50/cwt. I’ve received many calls from feedlot operators inquiring about market direction for the […] Read more
Photo: Canada Beef Inc.
Beef Cattle, Market talk, Markets

Cattle prices turning lower

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
I’ve been overwhelmed with calls over the past week as the recent issue of Canadian Cattlemen reached dinner tables and coffee shops. In the October issue, I hinted that the cattle market was turning over and would likely trend lower in the latter half of 2024. I always judge how successful my articles are by […] Read more
Beef demand is going to slow in 2024 as consumers rein in spending, Jerry Klassen predicts.
Beef Cattle, Market talk, Markets

Is the economy at the peak of expansion?

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
When I started writing for Canadian Cattlemen many years ago, I had the pleasure of talking to an old-time cattle feeder. He gave me some extraordinary wisdom. He stated if you want to be a successful analyst in the cattle market, you need to focus on economy and consumer spending.  Since the recession in 2020, […] Read more
Photo: Canada Beef Inc.
Beef Cattle, Market talk, Markets

Feeder cattle outside finishing feedlots

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
Feeder cattle prices in Canada and the U.S. have been trading at or near historical highs. I’ve received many phone calls and emails from cow-calf producers and feedlot operators inquiring about further upside in the feeder cattle complex. Recently, the USDA and Statistics Canada released their semi-annual cattle inventory surveys. The cattle herd remains in […] Read more
Production uncertainty drives feed grain markets
Beef Cattle, Market talk, Markets

Production uncertainty drives feed grain markets

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
Barley and corn prices have been extremely volatile over the past month. Large regions of Western Canada are experiencing drought-like conditions. At the same time, crop ratings for the U.S. corn crop reflect yield uncertainty in the Midwest. I’ve received many inquiries from feedlot operators and cow-calf producers regarding the price outlook for corn and […] Read more
Canadian barley outlook
Barley, Feed markets, Market talk

Canadian barley outlook

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
Statistics Canada’s acreage survey of 9,500 farmers was conducted between December 12 and January 14, 2023. Survey results were released on April 26. Commodity and fertilizer prices have changed significantly since winter. Although the data may be out of date, traders are using it as a starting point to project upcoming production. On the winter […] Read more
Higher interest rates to curb beef demand
Livestock, Market talk, Markets

Higher interest rates to curb beef demand

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
Interest rates in Canada and the U.S. have been increasing over the past year as central banks work to bring down inflation. The Bank of Canada and the U.S. Federal Reserve started their policy of monetary tightening in March 2022. One year later, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s benchmark rate was at 5.0 per cent while […] Read more

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