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Understanding the Commitment of Traders Report
Market talk, Markets

Understanding the Commitment of Traders Report

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

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Who is long? Who is short? How much of each? This is one of the most valuable pieces of information when analyzing the futures market. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) publishes the Commitment of Traders Report every Friday. The report shows the futures position of larger traders as of the previous Tuesday. It’s important […] Read more
Increasing Canadian barley production is likely to keep the market under pressure for the 2019-20 crop year.
Market talk, Markets

Fall feed barley update

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
It’s that time of year when I receive many inquiries about the feed barley outlook. During late June and early July, feed barley in the Lethbridge area was trading in the range of $285/mt to as high as $300/mt. At the time of writing this article in early September, feed barley was trading from $210/mt […] Read more
This spring had cattle-on-feed placements sharply higher than year-ago levels in the mid-weight categories which will result in a sharp year-over-year increase in market-ready supplies this fall.
Market talk, Markets

Soft beef demand outlook for September and October

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
Alberta fed cattle prices have been hovering in the range of $143 to $148 throughout the summer period. The market has been relatively stable without any major changes to supply and demand. Looking forward, beef production is expected to increase during September and October. At the same time, demand moves through a seasonal low. It’s […] Read more
The U.S. bond yield premium over Canadian bond yields is eroding.
Market talk, Markets

Canadian dollar enters fresh fundamentals: Klassen

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

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Canadian fed and feeder cattle prices have been enhanced by the weaker exchange rate since oil prices crumbled back in the spring of 2014. At that time, the Canadian dollar was highly correlated with crude oil values. The Canadian election in 2015 contributed to the softer currency as the Liberal fiscal policies were negative for […] Read more
Canadian farmers are expected to increase barley acreage this year as U.S. farmers plant more corn acres.
Feed markets, Livestock, Market talk

Klassen: Barley outlook

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
The feed grains complex has been volatile over the past month as the market moves through a transition phase. During the second week of May, southern Alberta feedlots were buying feed barley in the range of $255/mt to $265/mt delivered while central Alberta operations were making purchases from $240/mt to $250/mt delivered. For September delivery, […] Read more
Constellation of prices for live, feeder cattle futures
Livestock, Market talk, Markets

Constellation of prices for live, feeder cattle futures

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
The live and feeder cattle futures markets exhibit a behaviour commonly known as “the constellation of prices.” Understanding the price relationship between the live and feeder cattle futures can be invaluable when deciding to market calves or implement some type of hedging strategy using the price insurance. In this article, I’m going to discuss how […] Read more
The feeder cattle market is anticipating a surge in feedlot placements during the spring.
Feed markets, Market talk, Markets

A few observations on the feeder cattle market

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

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Over the past month, I’ve received inquiries about the market outlook for feeder cattle. During February and March, yearling prices were grinding lower while the market for calves was near 52-week highs. There was a clear divorce in the price structure between the heavier and lighter weight categories. Therefore, I thought this would be a […] Read more
The barley market needs to encourage acreage for 2019.
Barley, Market talk, Markets

Feed barley update

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

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The feed barley market has been relatively flat throughout the winter. During the last week of January, Lethbridge-area feedlots were buying feed barley in the range of $255/mt to $260/mt delivered. At the same time, central Alberta feedlots were making purchases from $245/mt to $250/mt. Barley stocks are projected to drop to historical lows by […] Read more
Feeder cattle market digesting many variables
Market talk, Markets

Feeder cattle market digesting many variables

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
The feeder cattle market was quite volatile throughout the final quarter of 2018. The weaker Canadian dollar enhanced demand from south of the border. At the same time, domestic feedlot operators were contending with rising feed grain prices and uncertain fed cattle prices for the first and second quarters of 2019. April live cattle futures […] Read more
canadian dollar
Market talk, Markets

Canadian dollar outlook

Market Talk with Jerry Klassen

By
The Canadian dollar has been trading near 52-week lows, supporting fed and feeder cattle prices. Canadian year-to-date feeder cattle exports to the U.S. for the week ending November 10 were 175,122 head, up a whopping 59 per cent over year-ago levels. While fed cattle exports to the U.S. are running 19 per cent below last […] Read more

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